There’s a very good chance that AAP will remain in power after February 11th, 2020 – the date when the Delhi Assembly Election 2020 result will be declared.
In fact, this is what virtually every opinion poll and surveys say.
According to a survey by India Today, 59.7 percent of voters said that AAP will win Delhi Assembly Election 2020. 24.1 percent favored BJP and 2.4 percent went with Congress. (Source)
Per the opinion polls conducted by ABP-CVoter, Aam AadmiParty will come back with a whopping majority, winning 59 out of 70 seats. Their vote share would be 55 percent. BJP will win 8 seats – five seats more than what it got in the previous election in 2015. Congress is expected to win 3 seats.
The same poll says that Arvind Kejriwal is the most favored candidate for the CM post, with 70 percent of people favoring him. (Source)
Heck, even a hardcore pro-BJP news website like Swarajyamag believes that Kejriwal is returning as the Chief Minister of Delhi with the majority.
There are many different factors that will play into AAP’s side and against the BJP.
From the macro-perspective, whatever has happened in JNU and Jamia – and whatever is happening in Shaheen Bagh and in different places – has left a mark against BJP among the voters. It doesn’t take a genius to see through the government’s and ‘Godi Media’s’ propaganda against top universities and students.
(Courtesy: Hindustan Times)
Moreover, the massive CAA and NRC protests in Delhi, as well across the country, will favor AAP a lot. BJP’s farce of development to push its divisive politics is more evident than ever. So, a lot of voters will keep this in mind when voting in Delhi Assembly Election 2020.
(Courtesy: Feminism India)
Where the traditional mainstream media has failed, the online sites and social media handles (from The Wire and The Quint to Peeing Human and Dhruv Rathee) has exposed the BJP government at the center numerous times. Delhi, as digitally savvy as it is, is consuming these content and understanding the reality on the ground. The middle and upper-class population will vote on a range of these topics that are intricate to the national-level politics.
(Courtesy: India Alive)
On the micro-level though, electricity, water, and roads are some of the core issues this election. These are the things that concern the lower-middle and lower class the most. And they would vote based on these factors. In that context, even the critics believe that the Kejriwal government has done a decent job over the past 5 years in providing essential relief to the people. It has done a lot of work. It has kept a lot of its promises. So, among these voters, Kejriwal and AAP stand strongly. They are likely going to get a large share of vote percentage from these voters – the bottom end of the population.
(Courtesy: Circle of Blue)
Delhi Assembly Election 2020 is very crucial. It will kickstart a nation-wide sentient against BJP in the following state elections, including and most importantly in West Bengalin 2021. The saffron party seems to be already losing grip in its hold of states. A loss in Delhi will be a major, major setback for it. And in its unique ways, it would also be treated as a mandate of the people against BJP’s anti-constitutional CAA and coming NRC, which would be a big roadblock for Modi-Shah-RSS in their dreams to turn India into a Hindu Rashtra.
(Courtesy: Indian Express)
In any way, coming to your question, Aam Aadmi Party is expected to win Delhi Assembly Election 2020.
So, if you live in Delhi, you will likely see the Kejriwalgovernment for another five years.
(Courtesy: India Today)
(Courtesy: Hindustan Times)